Monday, 17 March 2014

Grass fires, a simple truth

My blog posting “Knowledge is power” (click here) on 16 February began to deal with fire in grasslands and commenced with the statement:
Unlike a scrub or forest fire that liberates burning leaves and bark to be carried ahead of the main fire front to start new fires known as spot fires, grass fires generally don’t have the spotting problem, except where they involve trees or shrubs in their path.

The simple truth is that grass fire intensity can be dramatically reduced by managing the fuel (grass) to near ground level by mowing or using horses, cattle, sheep or goats or creating bare earth by ploughing, rotary hoeing, use of a grader blade or herbicide. Concerning distance, in the 16 February posting I mentioned at least 30 metres radius around the dwelling to be protected.

The page below is an extract from Planning Scheme Clause 52.47 Table 1 (click here) . I have applied yellow highlighter to indicate defendable space (vegetation management) for grassland. The grassland distances are lifted from Australian Standard AS 3959—2009 construction of buildings in bushfire-prone areas and calculated at Grassland Fire Danger Index (FDI) 130 and flame temperature 1090 Kelvin (click here).

The second column in the Table 1 extract marked with a “red X” is extra defendable space required due to a Victorian government decision to use flame temperature 1200K rather than adhere to 1090K used in AS 3959—2009. I will discuss use of flame temperature 1200K in a future posting.

The video clip available at The Age (click here) web site shows the effect of the 9 February 2014 Mickleham fire travelling north towards Darraweit Guim after the wind change. As can be seen some houses survived and others were lost.

Towards the end of my “Knowledge is power” posting I mentioned ember attack as a major cause — actually the main cause — of housing loss.

Again, the simple truth, keep the grass short, prevent a build-up of leaves, bark and twigs that will carry a fire up to or into a dwelling and bring that dwelling up to the bushfire fire resistance capability of at least bushfire attack level BAL–12.5 according to Australian Standard AS 3959—2009 Construction of buildings in bushfire-prone areas, which is basically measures to prevent ember penetration and protection against low-level fires burning up to the walls of a dwelling in a grassland environment. The result intended is a well-prepared dwelling and well-prepared occupants choosing to stay and defend should at least be able to stay inside the dwelling until after the passage of the fire past that dwelling, even on a day like that which drove the Mickleham fire.
This video posted on You Tube (click here) is useful in gaining an understanding of the burning characteristics of a grass fire.

Features to watch for in the video:
  • How quickly the fire front moves across the ground. Note the very short period of time that the fire front is actually flaming in any one location as it moves forward.
  • The black ground immediately behind the flame front, with virtually nothing left to burn — somewhat different to a fire in scrub or forest, the characteristics of which I’ll deal with in a future posting.
  • The significant reduction of flame height when the fire front or edge reaches the short grass of the vehicle track.
  • How the fire front comes to a halt when it reaches a fence and how long it takes to overcome that obstruction, however flimsy that timber fence may be. A steel fence can be very effective in halting the spread of fire in grassland, particularly with shortening or removing the grass on the side of the fence exposed to the fire. I have seen a wind-driven grass fire halted by simple stone fence long enough for a pursuing fire tanker to catch and stop the fire at the fence.

This photograph taken in the Bonang area of East Gippsland around 14 February 2014 shows the aftermath of a grass fire disappearing into the distance. A good example of how fires in grassland generally do not involve the canopy of eucalypt trees other than scorching some of the leaves that eventually fall but do not contribute to the fire itself. (thanks to Mark Gunning for the photograph)

The following four photographs are examples of buildings that are at extreme risk of ignition due to ember attack and fire burning up to the base of unprotected combustible walls.The third photograph shows a gap between a softwood window ledge and softwood decking a prime location to trap wind-borne burning leaves and bark.




Rubbish around the yard will likely be ignited by the passing grass fire and subject nearby buildings to extreme heat and long lasting ember and spark attack.

Poly-plastic water tanks at risk from the long grass at their base.

A Building Commission publication (click here) "A guide to retrofit your home for better protection from a bushfire” provides advice on how to increase the bushfire resistance capability of a dwelling. Amongst other matters, it explains bushfire attack levels (BAL) to be used as a guide to levels of construction for various vegetation environments and threat levels expressed in kilowatts/m² — the further from the fire the lower the kilowatts/m² at the receiver.

The CFA provides useful information on dealing with bushfire (click here) and specifically grass fires (click here).

Finally, the second last paragraph from my blog posting “Knowledge is power” on 16 February 2014:
Knowledge of fire behaviour is a critical factor to consider when contemplating evacuation — ‘knowledge is power’ and we should never consider ourselves powerless when dealing with bushfire. When fire does threaten, to understand what is really happening we need to disregard the awesome smoke column and the dramatics of the media and make our own assessment of the threat. And be aware of our own emotional and physical limitations.

Thursday, 13 March 2014

Understanding the fire danger rating system

As we travel Victoria’s roads many of us will have seen an adjustable fire danger rating sign (click here) used by the CFA to warn us of the bushfire danger in the area.

The Australasian Fire and Emergency Services Authorities Council (AFAC) defines “fire danger” as:

Sum of constant danger and variable danger factors affecting the inception, spread, and resistance to control, and subsequent fire damage; often expressed as an index.

and “fire danger rating” as:

A relative class denoting the potential rates of spread, or suppression difficulty for specific combinations of temperature, relative humidity, drought effects and wind speed, indicating the relative evaluation of fire danger.

Extracts from Bushfires in Australia, by R H Luke and A G McArthur considered relevant to this posting:

Fire danger rating systems serve two major purposes. The first is to provide the basis for the Bureau of Meteorology fire weather forecasts, which are issued through the media as a public information service. When warnings of increasing fire danger are included, such messages may be associated with or contain announcements of fire restrictions [e.g. periods of total fire ban]. General terms must be used as climatic regions cover large areas and many fuel types.

The second major purpose of a fire danger forecast is to provide fire control managers and other responsible persons with reliable daily or even hourly information on which to base their assessment of fire risk, likely fire behaviour and many other important matters such as those relating to the issue of burning-off permits, detection services [e.g. activating fire lookout towers] and the location [pre-positioning] of initial [firefighting] attack crews.   

If a precise prognosis of likely fire behaviour in a specific fuel type is required for a running fire the fire danger rating system should be capable of enabling the fire boss [incident controller] to answer such questions as:
  • the rate of spread of the fire;
  • difficulty of control; will mechanical equipment [including water bombing aircraft] be required or can it be handled by initial attack forces?
  • will it be a high intensity or low intensity fire?
  • will it produce a towering convection column or have a wind-driven smoke plume?
  • will it be a crown [sustained tree canopy] fire or a ground [or surface] fire?
  • what is the probability of it ‘blowing up’ [developing into an especially violent fire] in forest fuels?
  • what will be the spotting potential of the fire and the likely distance that spot fires will be thrown?

Referring back to my posting of 16 February (click here) where I mentioned FDI (fire danger index) read this to mean “fire danger rating” in this posting.

The Fire Danger Rating sign (click here) mentioned earlier is graduated according to the FDI:
Rating                                       FDI

Code Red                                 100 +
Extreme                                   75 – 100
Severe                                     50 – 75
Very High                                 25 – 50
High                                         12 – 25
Low – Moderate                         0 – 12

AFAC defines FDI (Fire Danger Index) as:

A relative number denoting an evaluation of rate of spread, or suppression difficulty for specific combinations of temperature, relative humidity, drought effects and wind speed.

So, what does this “fire danger rating” and ‘fire danger index” advice to the community mean and how should it be used? An issue touched on in my 16 February (click here) posting that I’ll come back to in a future posting, as I believe that in the manner it’s currently being used by the CFA to warn the public can be misleading, instil panic and is potentially dangerous.

The FDI/fire danger rating is not static or “one-size-fits-all” and can vary upwards according to a dynamic weather environment as the recorded weather data on my 16 February posting illustrates. And can vary downwards where land is subjected to onshore wind in coastal environments or the blocking influence of high ground.

To conclude this posting, the default FDI used by the CFA in its approach to dealing with Bushfire Management Overlay Bushfire Management Statements is FDI 120, which is based on weather recorded at the Bureau of Meteorology Recording Station at Melbourne Airport during the afternoon of the 1983 “Ash Wednesday Fires: 41degrees; Relative Humidity 5 per cent ; wind velocity of 45 k/hr and a drought factor of 10 (0 to 10).

One example of an on-line Forest Fire Danger Index calculator (click here).

Key inputs:
  • Temperature
  • Relative humidity
  • Wind speed
  • Drought factor